The United States is a country known for its diverse traditions, and one of those traditions is the freedom to debate and argue passionately. In this land of liberty, where individuals are free to express their opinions, I exercise my personal freedom to rank quarterbacks in the NFL as I see fit. Fresh from a long holiday weekend, I embark on this task with enthusiasm.
But let’s pause for a moment to acknowledge the beauty of America’s tradition of argumentation. While I present my rankings, I invite you to engage in friendly debate, although I do ask you to keep a few things in mind. First, I’d like to extend a shoutout to my good friend Jason La Canfora, who crafted similar quarterback tiers for the past two years. I’ve made a few tweaks to these tiers, but the core remains the same. I omitted JLC’s 2022 list to avoid confusion and accommodate the changes in rankings.
Second, my aim is not to provoke anger; instead, I wish to foster constructive discussion. Third, I remain open to being proven wrong, for the beauty of sports lies in its unpredictability.

Now, let’s dive into the quarterback tiers:
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Tier 1: The Big Three (2023: Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen)
These quarterbacks stand at the pinnacle of the NFL hierarchy. Often referred to as the “Elite of the Elite,” they are in a league of their own. Patrick Mahomes, in particular, is widely considered the best of the bunch, and some argue that he merits a tier of his own. However, Joe Burrow and Josh Allen are not far behind. Teams with these three quarterbacks believe they can win the Super Bowl even when faced with adversity.
Tier 2: Could Join Them Next Year (2023: Justin Herbert, Lamar Jackson, Trevor Lawrence, Jalen Hurts)
While these quarterbacks are elite in their own right, something holds them back from reaching Tier 1. It might be a lack of experience, injuries, or other factors. Lamar Jackson, a former MVP, has the potential to move up if he can stay healthy. Justin Herbert might ascend if he were on a different team, but the Chargers face challenges. Trevor Lawrence and Jalen Hurts have shown promise, but they need more time to prove themselves fully.
Tier 3: Intrigue with Question Marks (2023: Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Fields, Daniel Jones, Deshaun Watson, Russell Wilson)
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This tier consists of a mix of rising stars and experienced veterans who have tasted success but come with uncertainties. Each of these quarterbacks has lingering questions, whether it’s recent performance, injuries, or team dynamics. Aaron Rodgers, a two-time MVP, faces a new team with an uncertain track record. Matthew Stafford won a Super Bowl two years ago but struggled with injuries last season. Tua Tagovailoa’s health and offensive line are concerns. Justin Fields is unproven as a pure passer, and Daniel Jones showed improvement last season. Deshaun Watson’s off-field issues cloud his potential, while Russell Wilson’s success hinges on Sean Payton’s coaching.
Tier 4: You Can Win With Them (2023: Jared Goff, Dak Prescott, Geno Smith, Kirk Cousins, Ryan Tannehill, Derek Carr, Jimmy Garoppolo)
These quarterbacks can lead their teams to the playoffs with favorable circumstances. However, they may struggle to make deep playoff runs or win Super Bowls without strong defensive support or ideal conditions. Jared Goff has potential for growth in Detroit. Dak Prescott’s success may be limited by coaching decisions. Geno Smith impressed in 2022, but his ceiling may be modest. Kirk Cousins, Derek Carr, and Jimmy Garoppolo are all capable but fall short of elite status.
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Tier 5: Future Potential ‘Can Win With Them’ Guys (2023: Mac Jones, Kenny Pickett, Brock Purdy)
These young quarterbacks possess the potential to climb the ranks. Mac Jones, despite some controversy, has a high floor. Kenny Pickett could take a leap, although questions remain about the Steelers’ coaching. Brock Purdy’s limited resume keeps him in this tier, and his readiness for the NFL remains uncertain.
Tier 6: No Clue, Man (2023: Kyler Murray, Sam Howell, Jordan Love, Baker Mayfield, Desmond Ridder)
This tier is a mystery for the upcoming season. Kyler Murray’s future with the Cardinals is uncertain. Sam Howell and Jordan Love have untapped potential but also face uncertainty. Baker Mayfield could thrive in Tampa Bay, and Desmond Ridder might benefit from a weak division and a solid game plan.
Tier 7: The Rookies (2023: Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud, Anthony Richardson)
These rookies have immense upside, but their performances remain unpredictable. Bryce Young’s high floor makes him intriguing. Anthony Richardson’s athleticism could propel him, but he must secure the starting role. C.J. Stroud may surprise with the Texans’ new coaching staff.
Tier X: Just in Freaking Case (2023: Tom Brady)
Tom Brady defies age and expectations. While many doubt his capabilities, history has shown that counting him out can be a mistake. As Sean Connery returned to play James Bond at 52, Brady’s potential for a comeback cannot be dismissed.
In this country of freedom and fervent debates, these quarterback tiers spark discussion and excitement, embodying the essence of American sports culture.