After experiencing a series of weather extremes, ranging from scorching heatwaves to dismal rainy spells throughout summer and September in the UK, it appears that more unusual warmth might be in store. The unpredictable British weather has left many people wondering what to expect next, and it seems a brief Indian summer could be in the cards. However, before basking in the warmth, there’s a period of gloomy autumn rain to endure.
Currently, Storm Agnes continues to loom over the country, with the Met Office forecasting showers and gusty winds in the northern and western regions until Sunday. Specifically, southern Wales, including cities like Cardiff and Swansea, is under a yellow warning for heavy rain from 8 pm today until 2 am on Friday.
Looking ahead to October, temperatures might soar above the usual range for this time of year. In the southeast of England, meteorologists predict the mercury could climb to 22°C on Sunday, persisting at around that level into the early part of the following week. In the North East and South West, temperatures are expected to hover around 18°C, while the North West, Northern Ireland, and Wales will likely experience around 16°C. Even further north in Scotland, it will be slightly cooler, with Wick expected to reach 14°C, still warmer than the typical early October weather.
Meteorologist Jim Dale recently hinted at a possible ‘Indian summer’ in the country during this period. However, the Met Office clarified that, although these temperatures might be unusual for October in the UK, they don’t quite meet the criteria for a heatwave.
Grahame Madge, a spokesperson for the Met Office, explained that as September draws to a close, above-average temperatures are anticipated in southeastern England. Highs of 22°C are likely in parts of the southeast on Sunday, with temperatures around 20°C expected on Monday and Tuesday, potentially even higher in certain sheltered areas. Despite being higher than the average for this time of year, these temperatures do not meet the heatwave thresholds, which typically require three consecutive days of temperatures reaching 26, 27, or 28°C in most parts of the southeast.
Looking further into mid-October, the Met Office’s long-range forecast suggests that temperatures are more likely to be above average than below average overall, albeit with chilly nights during settled conditions.
In conclusion, after navigating through the autumn rain and the remnants of Storm Agnes, the UK might experience a brief period of warmer weather, resembling an Indian summer, especially in southeastern regions. While these temperatures are unusual for October, they fall short of a full-fledged heatwave according to the Met Office. As mid-October approaches, the overall trend indicates above-average temperatures, with occasional cool nights in calm weather.